图表内容
图2：市场对于未来的加息路径预期（截至11月3日）
MEETING PROBABILITIES
MEETING
375-
400-
425-
450-
475-
500-
525-
550-
575-
DATE
2022/12/14
0.0%
0.0%
56.8%
43.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2023/2/1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21.7%
51.6%
26.7%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2023/3/22
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4.7%
28.2%
46.2%
20.9%
0.0%
0.0%
2023/5/3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3.3%
21.0%
40.7%
28.6%
6.4%
0.0%
2023/6/14
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3.1%
20.0%
39.5%
29.3%
7.7%
0.4%
2023/726
0.0%
0.0%
0.4%
5.4%
22.6%
38.1%
26.4%
6.7%
0.3%
2023/9/20
0.0%
0.1%
1.6%
9.3%
26.2%
35.4%
21.9%
5.3%
0.3%
2023/11/1
0.0%
0.6%
4.4%
15.6%
29.6%
30.4%
15.7%
3.4%
0.2%
2023/12/13
0.3%
2.3%
9.3%
21.7%
30.0%
23.9%
10.3%
2.0%
0.1%
鸢料来源：CME FedWatch Tool
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